JAKARTA: The transmission of the coronavirus in Indonesia, a country with more than a quarter-billion people, may increase exponentially if the government makes no immediate effort to reduce the spread.
Using exponential function analysis, we estimate – with data gathered since Mar 2 and assuming the doubling times are similar as Iran’s and Italy’s – that at the end of April 2020, there may be 11,000 to 71,000 COVID-19 cases in Indonesia.