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Commentary: Without major intervention, Indonesia could have 71,000 COVID-19 cases by end-April

JAKARTA: The transmission of the coronavirus in Indonesia, a country with more than a quarter-billion people, may increase exponentially if the government makes no immediate effort to reduce the spread.

Using exponential function analysis, we estimate – with data gathered since Mar 2 and assuming the doubling times are similar as Iran’s and Italy’s – that at the end of April 2020, there may be 11,000 to 71,000 COVID-19 cases in Indonesia.

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